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Runoff Forecast service |
The service provides short-term
runoff
forecasts in real time.
An
automatic processing system carries out pre-processing of
meteorological and hydrological data from different data sources,
runoff
calculation for 1 to 7 days in advance, quality checks of input data,
production
of model output, and generation of graphical products for the
presentation of the
results.
This Runoff Forecast service was carried
out in spring 2006 in 4
Zillertal and 3 Ötztal basins,
which are located in the Austrian Alps. The
following products were generated for all basin gauges every
day in the period 4 April -1 July 2006:
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· Deterministic
runoff forecasts based on MOS and ECMWF T799 predictions (numeric
values and squirrel Plots);
· Comparison of measured and forecasted runoff (day 1 to 6; runoff
deviation plots);
· Comparison of temperature forecasts of pre-processed MOS with
measurements at stations (temperature deviation plots 1 to 6 days;
squirrel plot);
· Comparison of precipitation forecasts of pre-processed ECMWF T799
grid values with measurements at stations (precipitation deviation
plots 1 to 6 days; squirrel plot);
· Snow depletion curves (based on remote sensing data and temporal
interpolation);
· Accumulated fresh snow (snow water equivalent);
· Uncertainty of temperature forecasts based on ECMWF EPS T399 grid
points (EPS candle plots);
· Uncertainty of precipitation forecasts based on ECMWF EPS T399 grid
points (EPS candle plots);
· Runoff ensemble predictions based on ECMWF EPS T399 forecasts (EPS
candle plots, spaghetti plots).
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